LAK @ SEA
NHL
Climate Pledge Arena
·{'default': 'Seattle'}
·
SOG LAK 30 · 33 SEA
5–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (SEA) / 10 (LAK) games this season
LAK
away
home
SEA
56%
44%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 3-0LAK
Away
Metric
SEA
Home
34-45
Record
34-45
43%
Win %
43%
2.7
GF/G
2.8
3.0
GA/G
3.2
WWWWL
L5
WWLLL
Team totals
LAK
SEA
30
Shots
33
16
Hits
20
18
Blocks
11
2
Takeaways
5
18
Giveaways
11
7
PIM
11
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q Byfield | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9.35 |
| A Laferriere | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9.29 |
| T Moore | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9.61 |
| A Kempe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9.28 |
| A Kopitar | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.62 |
| A Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10.24 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Doughty | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8.31 |
| M Anderson | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6.59 |
| C Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4.35 |
| B Clarke | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 2 | 7.98 |
| B Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4.03 |
| J Edmundson | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0 | 6.52 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Kuemper | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A Forsberg | 30 | 33 | 0.909 | 3 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A Forsberg | goal | LAK vs SEA | 10.4 | ||||
| 2 | A Panarin | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.40 | 0.60 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 10.2 |
| 3 | T Moore | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.36 | 0.46 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 9.6 |
| 4 | B McMann | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.37 | 0.38 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 9.6 |
| 5 | Q Byfield | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.37 | 0.50 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 9.4 |
| 6 | A Laferriere | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.35 | 0.48 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 9.3 |
| 7 | A Kempe | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.36 | 0.52 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 9.3 |
| 8 | B Montour | defe | SEA vs LAK | 0.19 | 0.38 | 2.6 | 9.3 | |
| 9 | D Doughty | defe | LAK vs SEA | 0.14 | 0.52 | 2.0 | 8.3 | |
| 10 | B Clarke | defe | LAK vs SEA | 0.09 | 0.29 | 1.7 | 8.0 | |
| 11 | M Beniers | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.27 | 0.43 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 7.8 |
| 12 | A Kopitar | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.28 | 0.46 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 7.6 |
| 13 | J Eberle | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.29 | 0.39 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7.5 |
| 14 | A Larsson | defe | SEA vs LAK | 0.09 | 0.33 | 1.8 | 7.2 | |
| 15 | C Stephenson | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.28 | 0.44 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 7.0 |
| 16 | V Dunn | defe | SEA vs LAK | 0.09 | 0.35 | 1.7 | 6.9 | |
| 17 | M Anderson | defe | LAK vs SEA | 0.09 | 0.31 | 1.3 | 6.6 | |
| 18 | J Edmundson | defe | LAK vs SEA | 0.10 | 0.32 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 19 | S Laughton | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.25 | 0.27 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 6.4 |
| 20 | F Gaudreau | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.19 | 0.24 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 5.1 |
| 21 | K Kakko | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.17 | 0.28 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 4.9 |
| 22 | R Evans | defe | SEA vs LAK | 0.04 | 0.20 | 0.9 | 4.8 | |
| 23 | J Armia | forw | LAK vs SEA | 0.16 | 0.20 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4.7 |
| 24 | B Catton | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.15 | 0.23 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 4.6 |
| 25 | E Tolvanen | forw | SEA vs LAK | 0.15 | 0.18 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4.4 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.