WPG @ VGK

NHL T-Mobile Arena ·{'default': 'Paradise'} · SOG WPG 23 · 38 VGK

2–6

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (VGK) / 10 (WPG) games this season

WPG away

home VGK

39% 61%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-1

WPG

Away

Metric

VGK

Home

35-44

Record

37-43

44%

Win %

46%

2.8

GF/G

3.2

3.1

GA/G

3.1

LWWWL

WLWWW

Team totals

WPG

VGK

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
M Scheifele	1	1	2	2	0	-1	10.43
G Vilardi	1	1	2	2	0	-1	7.05
K Connor	0	1	1	3	1	-2	9.98
A Lowry	0	0	0	0	0	-1	4.06
J Toews	0	0	0	0	0	-2	3.47
I Rosen	0	0	0	2	0	0	2.21

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
J Morrissey	0	-2	1	2	9.2
D DeMelo	0	-1	1	1	4.8
D Samberg	0	1	0	1	6.54
C Miller	1	0	1	3	4.29
J Bryson	0	-1	2	0	2.78
H Fleury	0	-2	0	2	3.38

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
C Hellebuyck	32	38	0.842	6
E Comrie	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
J Eichel	1	3	4	4	0	3	10.88
M Stone	1	2	3	3	1	3	8.94
I Barbashev	1	1	2	1	1	3	7.08
P Dorofeyev	1	0	1	2	0	0	8.57
R Smith	1	0	1	3	0	0	4.15
C Smith	0	0	0	1	2	0	2.62

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
N Hanifin	0	2	3	2	0	6.42
R Andersson	1	1	3	1	2	7.62
B McNabb	0	0	0	1	2	5.59
S Theodore	0	0	0	0	0	5.84
J Lauzon	0	0	0	0	4	5.12
K Korczak	0	0	0	2	0	3.0

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Hill	0	0		0
C Hart	21	23	0.913	2

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	J Eichel	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.41	0.62	2.9	0.5	10.9
2	M Scheifele	forw	WPG vs VGK	0.32	0.84	2.3	0.5	10.4
3	M Marner	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.38	0.58	2.6	0.4	10.0
4	K Connor	forw	WPG vs VGK	0.35	0.60	2.7	0.7	10.0
5	J Morrissey	defe	WPG vs VGK	0.17	0.59	2.1		9.2
6	M Stone	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.35	0.50	2.3	0.8	8.9
7	P Dorofeyev	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.31	0.42	2.6	0.4	8.6
8	C Hellebuyck	goal	WPG vs VGK					8.2
9	R Andersson	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.13	0.32	1.9		7.6
10	I Barbashev	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.26	0.36	2.1	1.7	7.1
11	G Vilardi	forw	WPG vs VGK	0.25	0.44	1.8	0.4	7.1
12	C Hart	goal	VGK vs WPG					6.9
13	D Samberg	defe	WPG vs VGK	0.07	0.24	1.4		6.5
14	N Hanifin	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.09	0.31	1.6		6.4
15	S Theodore	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.08	0.29	1.5		5.8
16	C Perfetti	forw	WPG vs VGK	0.20	0.29	1.7	1.2	5.7
17	T Hertl	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.18	0.25	1.9	1.1	5.7
18	B McNabb	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.06	0.22	1.3		5.6
19	J Lauzon	defe	VGK vs WPG	0.08	0.22	1.3		5.1
20	N Chibrikov	forw	WPG vs VGK	0.38	0.08	1.0	1.4	5.1
21	D DeMelo	defe	WPG vs VGK	0.05	0.19	1.1		4.8
22	B Howden	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.15	0.22	1.5	1.4	4.6
23	C Miller	defe	WPG vs VGK	0.08	0.14	1.0		4.3
24	C Koepke	forw	WPG vs VGK	0.14	0.14	1.6	2.4	4.3
25	R Smith	forw	VGK vs WPG	0.15	0.17	1.4	0.5	4.2

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.