COL @ EDM
NHL
Rogers Place
·{'default': 'Edmonton'}
·
SOG COL 32 · 31 EDM
2–1
SO
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (EDM) / 10 (COL) games this season
COL
away
home
EDM
46%
54%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-1COL
Away
Metric
EDM
Home
52-27
Record
40-40
66%
Win %
50%
3.7
GF/G
3.4
2.5
GA/G
3.3
LWWLW
L5
LWLLW
Team totals
COL
EDM
32
Shots
31
12
Hits
22
15
Blocks
26
3
Takeaways
3
16
Giveaways
12
6
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Roy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4.28 |
| B Nelson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8.18 |
| V Nichushkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 6.68 |
| P Kelly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4.49 |
| J Drury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 |
| R Colton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 3.33 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.34 |
| S Malinski | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.29 |
| B Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5.64 |
| B Burns | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.21 |
| J Ahcan | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 3.54 |
| N Blankenburg | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 3.08 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Blackwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| S Wedgewood | 30 | 31 | 0.968 | 1 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C McDavid | forw | EDM vs COL | 0.56 | 0.79 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 15.5 |
| 2 | N MacKinnon | forw | COL vs EDM | 0.44 | 0.67 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 12.3 |
| 3 | M Necas | forw | COL vs EDM | 0.41 | 0.61 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 10.4 |
| 4 | E Bouchard | defe | EDM vs COL | 0.21 | 0.67 | 2.1 | 9.9 | |
| 5 | M Savoie | forw | EDM vs COL | 0.37 | 0.41 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 9.1 |
| 6 | S Wedgewood | goal | COL vs EDM | 9.0 | ||||
| 7 | C Ingram | goal | EDM vs COL | 8.5 | ||||
| 8 | B Nelson | forw | COL vs EDM | 0.30 | 0.49 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 8.2 |
| 9 | R Nugent-Hopkins | forw | EDM vs COL | 0.28 | 0.43 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 7.8 |
| 10 | S Malinski | defe | COL vs EDM | 0.13 | 0.35 | 1.7 | 7.3 | |
| 11 | D Nurse | defe | EDM vs COL | 0.10 | 0.31 | 1.5 | 7.2 | |
| 12 | V Nichushkin | forw | COL vs EDM | 0.22 | 0.36 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6.7 |
| 13 | D Toews | defe | COL vs EDM | 0.08 | 0.31 | 1.4 | 6.3 | |
| 14 | V Podkolzin | forw | EDM vs COL | 0.23 | 0.29 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 6.2 |
| 15 | B Burns | defe | COL vs EDM | 0.12 | 0.28 | 1.5 | 6.2 | |
| 16 | J Roslovic | forw | EDM vs COL | 0.21 | 0.25 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5.6 |
| 17 | B Kulak | defe | COL vs EDM | 0.07 | 0.26 | 1.3 | 5.6 | |
| 18 | C Murphy | defe | EDM vs COL | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.9 | 5.2 | |
| 19 | G Landeskog | forw | COL vs EDM | 0.17 | 0.22 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5.0 |
| 20 | K Kapanen | forw | EDM vs COL | 0.16 | 0.21 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4.7 |
| 21 | J Walman | defe | EDM vs COL | 0.05 | 0.16 | 1.0 | 4.6 | |
| 22 | M Ekholm | defe | EDM vs COL | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.9 | 4.5 | |
| 23 | P Kelly | forw | COL vs EDM | 0.16 | 0.18 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| 24 | A Henrique | forw | EDM vs COL | 0.16 | 0.18 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 4.4 |
| 25 | N Roy | forw | COL vs EDM | 0.14 | 0.20 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4.3 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.