BUF @ CHI

NHL United Center ·{'default': 'Chicago'} · SOG BUF 26 · 16 CHI

5–1

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (CHI) / 10 (BUF) games this season

BUF away

home CHI

72% 28%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 0-1

BUF

Away

Metric

CHI

Home

49-31

Record

28-52

61%

Win %

35%

3.5

GF/G

2.6

3.0

GA/G

3.4

WWWLL

LLLWL

Team totals

BUF

CHI

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
T Thompson	2	0	2	6	2	2	9.59
A Tuch	1	1	2	3	0	1	9.71
R McLeod	1	0	1	1	0	1	6.96
J Norris	1	0	1	2	1	1	6.3
Z Benson	0	1	1	4	0	2	6.73
J Zucker	0	1	1	2	1	0	6.81

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	DK
O Power	1	2	1	6.42
B Byram	0	2	1	6.96
R Dahlin	2	2	0	10.67
M Samuelsson	0	2	1	6.22
C Timmins	0	0	0	5.82
L Stanley	1	1	0	5.08

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
C Ellis	0	0		0
U Luukkonen	15	16	0.938	1

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
R Greene	1	0	1	1	2	0	5.29
I Mikheyev	0	1	1	0	0	-1	6.86
C Bedard	0	0	0	0	1	-3	10.96
F Nazar	0	0	0	0	0	-1	8.13
R Donato	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.02
T Teravainen	0	0	0	1	0	0	5.0

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
W Kaiser	-3	1	0	5.29
A Vlasic	-2	1	0	5.47
L Crevier	-1	1	2	5.84
S Rinzel	-2	1	0	5.05
E Del Mastro	0	1	0	3.93
K Korchinski	0	0	0	3.57

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
S Knight	21	26	0.808	5
A Soderblom	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	C Bedard	forw	CHI vs BUF	0.41	0.56	3.1	0.3	11.0
2	R Dahlin	defe	BUF vs CHI	0.21	0.62	3.1		10.7
3	A Tuch	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.37	0.48	2.8	0.9	9.7
4	T Thompson	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.35	0.52	2.7	0.8	9.6
5	A Frondell	forw	CHI vs BUF	0.35	0.47	2.7	0.9	9.4
6	J Quinn	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.33	0.38	3.1	0.9	9.3
7	S Knight	goal	CHI vs BUF					8.6
8	U Luukkonen	goal	BUF vs CHI					8.4
9	F Nazar	forw	CHI vs BUF	0.33	0.36	2.4	0.9	8.1
10	T Bertuzzi	forw	CHI vs BUF	0.30	0.42	2.0	1.0	7.7
11	R McLeod	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.24	0.49	1.7	0.2	7.0
12	B Byram	defe	BUF vs CHI	0.09	0.46	1.6		7.0
13	I Mikheyev	forw	CHI vs BUF	0.27	0.34	1.9	0.6	6.9
14	J Zucker	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.25	0.33	2.0	0.7	6.8
15	Z Benson	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.23	0.34	2.1	0.6	6.7
16	O Power	defe	BUF vs CHI	0.08	0.41	1.4		6.4
17	J Norris	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.22	0.31	1.9	1.3	6.3
18	M Samuelsson	defe	BUF vs CHI	0.09	0.30	1.4		6.2
19	L Crevier	defe	CHI vs BUF	0.07	0.27	1.3		5.8
20	C Timmins	defe	BUF vs CHI	0.07	0.25	1.3		5.8
21	A Vlasic	defe	CHI vs BUF	0.06	0.26	1.2		5.5
22	R Greene	forw	CHI vs BUF	0.19	0.27	1.6	0.8	5.3
23	W Kaiser	defe	CHI vs BUF	0.06	0.27	1.2		5.3
24	L Stanley	defe	BUF vs CHI	0.07	0.26	1.3		5.1
25	J Doan	forw	BUF vs CHI	0.18	0.23	1.6	1.2	5.1

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.