SJS @ NSH

NHL Bridgestone Arena ·{'default': 'Nashville'} · SOG SJS 23 · 28 NSH

3–2

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (NSH) / 10 (SJS) games this season

SJS away

home NSH

54% 46%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-0

SJS

Away

Metric

NSH

Home

37-42

Record

38-42

47%

Win %

48%

3.0

GF/G

3.0

3.6

GA/G

3.3

LLLWL

WLWLW

Team totals

SJS

NSH

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
M Celebrini	2	0	2	2	1	2	12.18
I Chernyshov	1	1	2	3	1	1	4.52
W Smith	0	1	1	2	0	1	7.5
A Wennberg	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.63
C Graf	0	1	1	1	1	1	5.8
W Eklund	0	1	1	1	2	-2	6.08

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
M Ferraro	0	2	4	5.36
S Mukhamadullin	-1	1	1	4.7
D Orlov	-1	2	0	7.26
V Desharnais	2	0	3	4.88
S Dickinson	-1	1	1	4.73
L Cagnoni	1	2	2	—

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Nedeljkovic	26	28	0.929	2
Y Askarov	0	0		0

Player	G	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
L Evangelista	2	2	3	0	2	6.41
M Wood	0	0	0	2	0	4.18
Z L'Heureux	0	0	1	3	0	4.87
E Haula	0	0	1	5	0	5.69
F Forsberg	0	0	2	1	-1	8.96
R Schaefer	0	0	1	0	0	2.38

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
R Josi	1	0	1	0	9.97
B Skjei	0	0	1	0	6.64
A Wilsby	0	0	0	1	5.2
J Barron	0	-1	0	1	4.44
R Ufko	2	1	0	1	3.47
N Perbix	1	1	3	0	4.95

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Saros	0	0		0
J Annunen	20	22	0.909	2

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	M Celebrini	forw	SJS vs NSH	0.42	0.74	3.3	0.8	12.2
2	R Josi	defe	NSH vs SJS	0.15	0.63	2.4		10.0
3	F Forsberg	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.33	0.52	2.4	0.8	9.0
4	S Stamkos	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.35	0.42	2.5	0.8	8.8
5	J Annunen	goal	NSH vs SJS					8.7
6	R O'Reilly	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.26	0.59	1.8	0.3	7.9
7	A Wennberg	forw	SJS vs NSH	0.29	0.47	1.9	0.4	7.6
8	W Smith	forw	SJS vs NSH	0.25	0.46	2.1	0.6	7.5
9	D Orlov	defe	SJS vs NSH	0.14	0.43	1.7		7.3
10	A Nedeljkovic	goal	SJS vs NSH					7.0
11	J Marchessault	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.24	0.36	2.0	1.0	6.8
12	B Skjei	defe	NSH vs SJS	0.10	0.31	1.6		6.6
13	T Jost	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.24	0.31	2.0	1.1	6.5
14	L Evangelista	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.23	0.30	2.0	0.4	6.4
15	W Eklund	forw	SJS vs NSH	0.20	0.31	1.9	1.5	6.1
16	C Graf	forw	SJS vs NSH	0.19	0.28	1.9	1.3	5.8
17	E Haula	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.22	0.25	1.7	2.1	5.7
18	K Sherwood	forw	SJS vs NSH	0.19	0.26	1.8	3.7	5.6
19	M Ferraro	defe	SJS vs NSH	0.05	0.22	1.1		5.4
20	A Wilsby	defe	NSH vs SJS	0.07	0.22	1.3		5.2
21	T Toffoli	forw	SJS vs NSH	0.16	0.24	1.7	0.5	5.1
22	N Perbix	defe	NSH vs SJS	0.05	0.18	1.1		5.0
23	V Desharnais	defe	SJS vs NSH	0.04	0.21	1.1		4.9
24	Z L'Heureux	forw	NSH vs SJS	0.18	0.20	1.6	2.8	4.9
25	S Dickinson	defe	SJS vs NSH	0.05	0.20	1.2		4.7

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.