MIN @ STL

NHL Enterprise Center ·{'default': 'St. Louis'} · SOG MIN 31 · 22 STL

3–6

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (STL) / 10 (MIN) games this season

MIN away

home STL

47% 53%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-1

MIN

Away

Metric

STL

Home

45-35

Record

34-45

56%

Win %

43%

3.3

GF/G

2.7

2.9

GA/G

3.1

LLWWW

WLLWW

Team totals

MIN

STL

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
N Foligno	1	1	2	2	0	1	3.0
M McCarron	1	0	1	3	2	0	3.25
D Yurov	1	0	1	2	1	-2	3.06
Y Trenin	0	1	1	2	4	-1	3.75
M Johansson	0	1	1	2	0	-3	4.24
V Tarasenko	0	1	1	2	0	-2	5.38

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
V Gustafsson-Nyberg	0	-1	0	1	—
M Kiersted	0	-1	0	0	3.62
J Spurgeon	0	-2	1	1	4.81
D Hunt	1	1	1	1	3.11
J Petry	0	-1	3	2	3.51
J Middleton	0	-3	3	0	4.91

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
F Gustavsson	16	21	0.762	5
J Wallstedt	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
J Snuggerud	1	1	2	2	1	1	9.88
O Stenberg	1	0	1	2	0	2	3.79
J Neighbours	1	0	1	1	5	1	5.35
P Buchnevich	1	0	1	1	0	2	5.96
A Toropchenko	0	1	1	0	1	1	3.89
R Thomas	0	1	1	1	0	0	9.36

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
L Mailloux	0	0	3	0	3	5.88
P Broberg	0	0	2	1	0	7.08
T Tucker	0	1	0	1	1	3.96
C Fowler	0	1	0	0	0	5.08
C Parayko	1	0	2	0	1	7.56
T Lindstein	1	0	2	1	0	4.51

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Hofer	28	31	0.903	3
J Binnington	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	D Holloway	forw	STL vs MIN	0.48	0.62	3.3	1.2	12.1
2	J Snuggerud	forw	STL vs MIN	0.38	0.48	2.8	0.7	9.9
3	R Thomas	forw	STL vs MIN	0.36	0.60	2.2	0.4	9.4
4	J Hofer	goal	STL vs MIN					8.0
5	C Parayko	defe	STL vs MIN	0.11	0.34	1.7		7.6
6	P Broberg	defe	STL vs MIN	0.11	0.45	1.5		7.1
7	F Gustavsson	goal	MIN vs STL					6.8
8	J Kyrou	forw	STL vs MIN	0.21	0.33	1.7	0.5	6.0
9	P Buchnevich	forw	STL vs MIN	0.22	0.34	1.6	0.4	6.0
10	L Mailloux	defe	STL vs MIN	0.07	0.29	1.3		5.9
11	V Tarasenko	forw	MIN vs STL	0.19	0.23	1.7	0.7	5.4
12	J Neighbours	forw	STL vs MIN	0.18	0.29	1.6	1.2	5.4
13	C Fowler	defe	STL vs MIN	0.07	0.25	1.2		5.1
14	J Middleton	defe	MIN vs STL	0.05	0.12	0.9		4.9
15	J Spurgeon	defe	MIN vs STL	0.06	0.18	1.0		4.8
16	D Dvorsky	forw	STL vs MIN	0.17	0.24	1.4	0.5	4.8
17	J Drouin	forw	STL vs MIN	0.17	0.25	1.4	0.6	4.8
18	T Lindstein	defe	STL vs MIN	0.06	0.18	1.1		4.5
19	P Suter	forw	STL vs MIN	0.15	0.25	1.3	0.6	4.5
20	M Johansson	forw	MIN vs STL	0.14	0.19	1.4	0.8	4.2
21	T Tucker	defe	STL vs MIN	0.05	0.19	0.9		4.0
22	A Toropchenko	forw	STL vs MIN	0.14	0.15	1.3	2.4	3.9
23	O Stenberg	forw	STL vs MIN	0.12	0.19	1.2	1.1	3.8
24	Y Trenin	forw	MIN vs STL	0.11	0.15	1.4	4.0	3.8
25	M Kiersted	defe	MIN vs STL	0.04	0.13	1.0		3.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.