NYR @ FLA

NHL Amerant Bank Arena ·{'default': 'Sunrise'} · SOG NYR 27 · 16 FLA

2–3

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (FLA) / 10 (NYR) games this season

NYR away

home FLA

53% 47%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 0-2

NYR

Away

Metric

FLA

Home

33-47

Record

38-42

41%

Win %

48%

2.9

GF/G

3.0

3.1

GA/G

3.4

LLWWL

WLLLL

Team totals

NYR

FLA

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
G Perreault	1	0	1	3	1	0	5.44
N Laba	0	1	1	2	1	0	4.13
A Lafrenière	0	1	1	1	0	0	8.32
T Kartye	0	0	0	1	3	-1	3.66
A Sykora	0	0	0	1	3	0	3.92
C Sheary	0	0	0	0	0	-1	4.71

Defense

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
A Fox	0	1	0	0	0	9.82
V Gavrikov	0	0	1	1	0	6.28
W Borgen	0	0	0	0	2	4.57
M Robertson	1	0	0	0	2	4.78
B Schneider	0	0	-2	2	0	6.06
D Fortescue	0	0	-1	0	0	4.05

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Quick	13	16	0.813	3
I Shesterkin	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
C Reinhardt	2	0	2	2	3	1	3.2
M Samoskevich	1	0	1	1	1	0	6.14
L Kunin	0	1	1	0	5	1	2.59
V Hinostroza	0	1	1	0	2	1	3.68
N Gregor	0	0	0	1	1	0	3.89
N Foote	0	0	0	0	4	0	2.92

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
M Alscher	0	0	2	3	—
D Sebrango	1	1	1	3	4.53
T Bjornfot	1	0	2	1	3.53
M Benning	0	0	0	0	3.98
L Jansson	0	1	1	0	—
G Forsling	0	0	2	0	8.0

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
S Bobrovsky	0	0		0
D Tarasov	25	27	0.926	2

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	M Zibanejad	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.40	0.53	2.6	0.7	9.9
2	A Fox	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.14	0.69	2.2		9.8
3	A Lafrenière	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.32	0.43	2.3	0.2	8.3
4	J Miller	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.30	0.50	2.1	0.8	8.2
5	G Forsling	defe	FLA vs NYR	0.13	0.40	1.9		8.0
6	J Quick	goal	NYR vs FLA					7.6
7	D Tarasov	goal	FLA vs NYR					7.0
8	V Trocheck	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.26	0.39	1.6	1.9	6.6
9	E Luostarinen	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.22	0.35	1.9	0.7	6.5
10	V Gavrikov	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.09	0.35	1.4		6.3
11	A Greer	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.23	0.27	1.9	1.8	6.1
12	M Samoskevich	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.23	0.25	2.0	1.2	6.1
13	W Cuylle	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.24	0.24	1.9	3.0	6.1
14	B Schneider	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.07	0.27	1.3		6.1
15	G Perreault	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.20	0.27	1.6	0.4	5.4
16	M Robertson	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.06	0.23	1.2		4.8
17	C Sheary	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.18	0.21	1.4	0.4	4.7
18	W Borgen	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.06	0.23	0.9		4.6
19	J Boqvist	forw	FLA vs NYR	0.16	0.18	1.5	1.2	4.6
20	D Sebrango	defe	FLA vs NYR	0.05	0.18	1.1		4.5
21	J Brodzinski	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.14	0.18	1.4	1.0	4.2
22	N Laba	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.14	0.19	1.3	1.3	4.1
23	D Fortescue	defe	NYR vs FLA	0.05	0.19	0.9		4.1
24	M Benning	defe	FLA vs NYR	0.04	0.15	0.9		4.0
25	A Sykora	forw	NYR vs FLA	0.14	0.15	1.3	1.5	3.9

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.