VAN @ ANA

NHL Honda Center ·{'default': 'Anaheim'} · SOG VAN 26 · 27 ANA

4–3

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (ANA) / 10 (VAN) games this season

VAN away

home ANA

15% 85%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-2

VAN

Away

Metric

ANA

Home

23-56

Record

42-37

29%

Win %

53%

2.6

GF/G

3.3

3.8

GA/G

3.5

WLLLL

Team totals

VAN

ANA

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
B Boeser	1	1	2	3	1	-1	8.65
M Rossi	1	1	2	2	0	0	5.24
C Douglas	1	0	1	1	2	1	2.24
J DeBrusk	1	0	1	2	0	0	8.09
A Räty	0	1	1	3	0	-1	2.58
N Hoglander	0	0	0	2	1	0	2.54

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
F Hronek	1	-2	0	0	9.37
M Pettersson	0	0	0	1	5.48
T Willander	0	0	1	2	4.95
Z Buium	1	-1	3	0	5.14
E Pettersson	0	2	1	5	3.97
K Kudryavtsev	1	1	1	0	—

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
N Tolopilo	24	27	0.889	3
K Lankinen	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
C Gauthier	2	0	2	4	2	0	8.34
C Kreider	0	2	2	1	1	2	8.62
L Carlsson	1	0	1	3	0	0	10.91
A Killorn	0	1	1	3	1	1	6.81
M McTavish	0	1	1	2	3	1	5.02
T Terry	0	0	0	1	2	0	11.96

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
J Trouba	0	0	1	4	7.49
J Carlson	0	0	0	0	12.18
J LaCombe	1	2	2	1	8.71
T Hinds	0	-1	3	1	5.43
R Gudas	0	-1	0	4	4.06
I Moore	0	0	0	2	3.81

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
V Husso	0	0		0
L Dostal	22	26	0.846	4

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	J Carlson	defe	ANA vs VAN	0.13	0.80	3.5		12.2
2	T Terry	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.47	0.60	3.3	0.3	12.0
3	L Carlsson	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.44	0.56	2.9	0.3	10.9
4	F Hronek	defe	VAN vs ANA	0.14	0.68	2.3		9.4
5	M Granlund	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.37	0.60	2.1	0.7	9.4
6	J LaCombe	defe	ANA vs VAN	0.12	0.63	2.1		8.7
7	B Boeser	forw	VAN vs ANA	0.34	0.45	2.3	0.8	8.7
8	C Kreider	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.32	0.46	2.4	1.0	8.6
9	C Gauthier	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.33	0.41	2.3	0.8	8.3
10	E Pettersson	forw	VAN vs ANA	0.28	0.47	2.4	1.0	8.3
11	N Tolopilo	goal	VAN vs ANA					8.3
12	J DeBrusk	forw	VAN vs ANA	0.30	0.35	2.5	0.6	8.1
13	B Sennecke	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.31	0.39	2.3	1.2	8.1
14	L Dostal	goal	ANA vs VAN					8.0
15	J Trouba	defe	ANA vs VAN	0.12	0.38	1.8		7.5
16	A Killorn	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.28	0.37	1.7	1.2	6.8
17	R Poehling	forw	ANA vs VAN	0.25	0.34	1.9	0.7	6.7
18	D O'Connor	forw	VAN vs ANA	0.24	0.31	1.9	1.0	6.5
19	P Mintyukov	defe	ANA vs VAN	0.06	0.31	1.5		6.0
20	T Blueger	forw	VAN vs ANA	0.21	0.28	1.7	1.1	5.8
21	M Pettersson	defe	VAN vs ANA	0.06	0.23	1.1		5.5
22	T Hinds	defe	ANA vs VAN	0.08	0.27	1.4		5.4
23	L Karlsson	forw	VAN vs ANA	0.19	0.25	1.6	0.7	5.3
24	M Rossi	forw	VAN vs ANA	0.20	0.27	1.5	1.3	5.2
25	Z Buium	defe	VAN vs ANA	0.05	0.28	1.2		5.1

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.