FLA @ TOR
NHL
Scotiabank Arena
·Toronto
·
SOG FLA 28 · 20 TOR
3–4
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (TOR) / 10 (FLA) games this season
FLA
away
home
TOR
48%
52%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 2-3FLA
Away
Metric
TOR
Home
51-37
Record
57-32
58%
Win %
64%
3.1
GF/G
3.3
2.7
GA/G
2.8
LWWLW
L5
WWLLW
Team totals
FLA
TOR
28
Shots
20
39
Hits
41
8
Blocks
25
4
Takeaways
1
5
Giveaways
14
10
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Lundell | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| E Luostarinen | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| B Marchand | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| A Barkov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
| N Sturm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S Bennett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Jones | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 1 |
| N Mikkola | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 |
| G Forsling | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| A Ekblad | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| D Kulikov | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 |
| N Schmidt | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Bobrovsky | 16 | 20 | 0.800 | 4 |
| V Vanecek | 0 | 0 | 0 |