MIN @ VGK
NHL
T-Mobile Arena
·Paradise
·
SOG MIN 17 · 32 VGK
5–2
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (VGK) / 10 (MIN) games this season
MIN
away
home
VGK
52%
48%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 4-0MIN
Away
Metric
VGK
Home
45-38
Record
51-32
54%
Win %
61%
2.8
GF/G
3.4
2.9
GA/G
2.7
LWWLW
L5
WWLWW
Team totals
MIN
VGK
17
Shots
32
37
Hits
30
30
Blocks
13
7
Takeaways
6
12
Giveaways
15
0
PIM
2
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Kaprizov | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| M Boldy | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| M Foligno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| M Zuccarello | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| M Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| R Hartman | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Faber | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| J Brodin | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| J Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| J Middleton | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Z Buium | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| Z Bogosian | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Gustavsson | 30 | 32 | 0.938 | 2 |
| M Fleury | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Q Hughes | defe | MIN vs VAN | 0.16 | 0.86 | 2.6 | 11.4 | |
| 2 | M Marner | forw | VGK vs BUF | 0.34 | 0.71 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 10.0 |
| 3 | J Megna | defe | VGK vs TBL | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.9 | 3.9 | |
| 4 | N Sturm | forw | MIN vs TBL | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.