MIN @ VGK

NHL T-Mobile Arena ·Paradise · SOG MIN 20 · 27 VGK

2–4

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (VGK) / 10 (MIN) games this season

MIN away

home VGK

50% 50%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 3-0

MIN

Away

Metric

VGK

Home

45-37

Record

50-32

55%

Win %

61%

2.8

GF/G

3.4

2.9

GA/G

2.7

WWLWW

WLWWL

Team totals

MIN

VGK

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
M Boldy	2	0	2	2	6	1
K Kaprizov	0	2	2	1	1	1
R Hartman	0	1	1	3	1	2
Y Trenin	0	0	0	1	8	0
J Eriksson Ek	0	0	0	4	2	-1
J Brazeau	0	0	0	0	4	0

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
B Faber	0	1	1
J Brodin	-1	3	1
J Spurgeon	1	2	3
J Middleton	0	2	2
Z Buium	0	0	2
Z Bogosian	0	0	2

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
F Gustavsson	23	26	0.885	3
M Fleury	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
B Howden	2	0	2	4	3	1
T Hertl	1	1	2	4	4	1
P Dorofeyev	1	0	1	3	0	1
N Roy	0	1	1	2	0	1
B Saad	0	1	1	1	0	1
K Kolesar	0	0	0	0	4	1

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
N Hanifin	1	0	2	2
A Pietrangelo	1	1	4	1
B McNabb	0	0	6	2
S Theodore	1	-1	1	0
Z Whitecloud	0	0	2	2
N Hague	0	0	2	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Hill	18	20	0.900	2
A Schmid	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2025-04-15) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	Q Hughes	defe	MIN vs VAN	0.16	0.86	2.6		11.4
2	M Marner	forw	VGK vs BUF	0.34	0.71	2.4	0.9	10.0
3	J Megna	defe	VGK vs TBL	0.03	0.14	0.9		3.9
4	N Sturm	forw	MIN vs TBL	0.08	0.09	1.0	2.4	2.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.