COL @ DAL

NHL American Airlines Center ·Dallas · SOG COL 37 · 39 DAL

3–4

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (DAL) / 10 (COL) games this season

COL away

home DAL

55% 45%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-3

COL

Away

Metric

DAL

Home

50-33

Record

50-33

60%

Win %

60%

3.4

GF/G

3.3

2.8

GA/G

2.8

WWLLW

LLLLL

Team totals

COL

DAL

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
L O'Connor	1	1	2	1	2	2
J Drury	1	0	1	2	1	1
N MacKinnon	1	0	1	4	3	1
J Drouin	0	1	1	2	0	-1
A Lehkonen	0	1	1	4	2	1
V Nichushkin	0	0	0	4	2	0

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
D Toews	0	1	7	0
C Makar	1	0	1	2
R Lindgren	1	2	2	1
J Manson	0	-2	0	4
S Girard	1	-2	1	1
E Johnson	0	-1	2	2

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
M Blackwood	35	39	0.897	4
S Wedgewood	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
S Steel	0	2	2	0	3	1
E Dadonov	1	0	1	2	1	2
C Blackwell	1	0	1	5	5	0
T Seguin	1	0	1	2	2	0
O Bäck	0	1	1	1	2	1
J Benn	0	1	1	4	4	1

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
T Harley	1	0	2	0	1
E Lindell	0	0	-2	4	2
C Ceci	0	1	-2	3	4
I Lyubushkin	0	0	2	2	1
A Petrovic	0	0	1	1	0
L Bichsel	0	0	1	1	5

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Oettinger	34	37	0.919	3
C DeSmith	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2025-04-15) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	N Bastian	forw	DAL vs BOS	0.10	0.09	0.9	2.6	2.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.