COL @ DAL

NHL American Airlines Center ·Dallas · SOG COL 25 · 24 DAL

5–1

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (DAL) / 10 (COL) games this season

COL away

home DAL

69% 31%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-2

COL

Away

Metric

DAL

Home

49-33

Record

50-32

60%

Win %

61%

3.4

GF/G

3.4

2.9

GA/G

2.7

WLLWL

LLLLL

Team totals

COL

DAL

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
N MacKinnon	2	1	3	7	1	2
L O'Connor	0	2	2	0	2	2
C Coyle	1	0	1	1	1	1
A Lehkonen	1	0	1	2	2	1
J Drouin	0	1	1	0	1	0
P Kelly	0	1	1	2	2	1

Defense

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
D Toews	1	0	1	3	0
C Makar	0	1	1	2	0
R Lindgren	0	1	1	0	4
S Girard	0	0	2	0	2
J Manson	0	1	2	0	1
E Johnson	0	0	1	0	3

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
M Blackwood	23	24	0.958	1
S Wedgewood	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
R Hintz	1	0	1	3	1	-1
W Johnston	0	1	1	2	0	-2
M Marchment	0	0	0	3	3	0
M Bourque	0	0	0	3	1	-2
S Steel	0	0	0	1	0	-2
J Benn	0	0	0	1	1	-1

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
T Harley	1	-1	6	0
E Lindell	0	0	5	1
I Lyubushkin	0	-1	2	0
C Ceci	0	-1	1	2
A Petrovic	0	-2	0	2
L Bichsel	0	-2	1	2

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Oettinger	20	24	0.833	4
C DeSmith	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2025-04-15) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	N Bastian	forw	DAL vs BOS	0.10	0.09	0.9	2.6	2.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.