STL @ WPG

NHL Canada Life Centre ·Winnipeg · SOG STL 17 · 26 WPG

3–5

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (WPG) / 10 (STL) games this season

STL away

home WPG

54% 46%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 3-1

STL

Away

Metric

WPG

Home

44-38

Record

56-26

54%

Win %

68%

3.1

GF/G

3.4

2.8

GA/G

2.3

WLLLW

WLWWW

Team totals

STL

WPG

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
R Thomas	1	0	1	2	2	-2
J Kyrou	1	0	1	4	1	-2
O Sundqvist	1	0	1	1	3	0
P Buchnevich	0	1	1	0	0	-2
Z Bolduc	0	1	1	1	3	0
J Neighbours	0	1	1	2	7	-2

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
C Fowler	1	-3	1	0
P Broberg	0	1	1	0
C Parayko	0	-2	3	1
J Faulk	2	1	2	4
R Suter	0	-1	2	0
N Leddy	0	-1	0	2

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Hofer	0	0		0
J Binnington	21	25	0.840	4

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
K Connor	1	2	3	5	1	2
M Scheifele	1	2	3	2	2	2
A Iafallo	1	0	1	3	5	2
J Anderson-Dolan	1	0	1	2	1	0
A Lowry	1	0	1	2	3	1
M Appleton	0	1	1	1	2	1

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
J Morrissey	2	0	1	2
D Samberg	0	2	0	1
N Pionk	0	2	2	0
D DeMelo	0	1	1	1
L Schenn	1	0	3	5
L Stanley	0	1	1	1

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
C Hellebuyck	14	17	0.824	3
E Comrie	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2025-04-15) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	P Suter	forw	STL vs VAN	0.48	0.88	2.9	0.9	12.8
2	N Bjugstad	forw	STL vs NSH	0.14	0.15	1.3	1.3	3.8
3	C Koepke	forw	WPG vs BOS	0.10	0.15	1.1	2.2	3.3

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.