NYI @ CBJ

NHL Nationwide Arena ·Columbus · SOG NYI 37 · 26 CBJ

1–6

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (CBJ) / 10 (NYI) games this season

NYI away

home CBJ

32% 68%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-1

NYI

Away

Metric

CBJ

Home

35-46

Record

39-42

43%

Win %

48%

2.8

GF/G

3.3

3.1

GA/G

3.3

LWLLL

WWWWW

Team totals

NYI

CBJ

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
H Fasching	1	0	1	4	0	0
C Cizikas	0	1	1	2	0	0
M Tsyplakov	0	0	0	2	0	-2
S Holmstrom	0	0	0	0	0	-2
B Horvat	0	0	0	1	1	-1
M Gatcomb	0	0	0	2	5	-2

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK
N Dobson	-1	0
S Mayfield	1	1
T DeAngelo	-3	2
A Boqvist	-3	0
S Perunovich	-2	2
M Reilly	-2	1

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
M Hogberg	20	26	0.769	6
I Sorokin	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
C Sillinger	1	1	2	1	0	1
S Kuraly	1	0	1	1	1	2
A Fantilli	1	0	1	3	1	2
D Voronkov	1	0	1	2	0	1
S Monahan	0	1	1	0	0	1
K Marchenko	0	1	1	1	0	1

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
Z Werenski	1	1	2	1	0
I Provorov	0	0	2	1	0
D Fabbro	1	0	3	5	0
E Gudbranson	0	1	0	2	3
J Harris	0	1	1	0	2
D Mateychuk	0	0	2	1	1

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
D Tarasov	0	0		0
J Greaves	36	37	0.973	1

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2025-04-15) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	Z Werenski	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.41	0.63	2.8		12.6
2	B Horvat	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.43	0.55	3.0	0.3	10.8
3	D Rittich	goal	NYI vs EDM					9.4
4	I Sorokin	goal	NYI vs WSH					9.3
5	B Jenner	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.33	0.40	2.4	1.3	8.5
6	T DeAngelo	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.13	0.45	2.2		8.4
7	K Palmieri	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.32	0.44	2.3	0.5	8.3
8	K Marchenko	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.33	0.38	2.4	0.9	8.3
9	S Monahan	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.27	0.47	2.0	0.9	7.6
10	A Lee	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.30	0.37	2.1	0.7	7.6
11	A Fantilli	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.27	0.31	2.0	1.0	6.9
12	J Greaves	goal	CBJ vs PHI					6.7
13	K Johnson	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.22	0.45	1.7	0.4	6.6
14	D Fabbro	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.08	0.34	1.5		6.5
15	I Provorov	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.09	0.29	1.5		6.4
16	S Holmstrom	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.25	0.34	1.6	0.5	6.3
17	J Pageau	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.23	0.35	1.7	0.6	6.2
18	P Engvall	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.23	0.23	1.9	1.3	6.0
19	M Tsyplakov	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.21	0.24	1.8	1.1	5.7
20	A Pelech	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.06	0.25	1.3		5.6
21	R Pulock	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.06	0.24	1.2		5.6
22	D Mateychuk	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.07	0.22	1.2		5.5
23	D Voronkov	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.19	0.21	1.7	1.6	5.2
24	S Perunovich	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.06	0.23	1.2		5.1
25	H Fasching	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.16	0.24	1.5	0.6	4.8

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.