CAR @ OTT
NHL
Canadian Tire Centre
·Ottawa
·
SOG CAR 33 · 32 OTT
5–7
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (OTT) / 10 (CAR) games this season
CAR
away
home
OTT
42%
58%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-1CAR
Away
Metric
OTT
Home
47-34
Record
44-37
58%
Win %
54%
3.2
GF/G
2.9
2.8
GA/G
2.8
LLWLL
L5
LWWLW
Team totals
CAR
OTT
33
Shots
32
17
Hits
22
14
Blocks
14
0
Takeaways
4
14
Giveaways
10
28
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Svechnikov | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| T Hall | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| J Roslovic | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| J Kotkaniemi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| S Brind'Amour | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| T Jost | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| S Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| S Gostisbehere | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| S Morrow | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| R Stillman | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| B Burns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F Andersen | 25 | 32 | 0.781 | 7 |
| P Kochetkov | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T Chabot | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.15 | 0.56 | 2.2 | 9.7 | |
| 2 | D Batherson | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.37 | 0.38 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 9.4 |
| 3 | R Greig | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.31 | 0.52 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 8.6 |
| 4 | T Stützle | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.31 | 0.43 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 8.0 |
| 5 | D Cozens | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.26 | 0.32 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 7.1 |
| 6 | S Pinto | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.30 | 0.36 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 7.0 |
| 7 | F Zetterlund | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.23 | 0.36 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6.9 |
| 8 | D Perron | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.21 | 0.26 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6.0 |
| 9 | A Zub | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.06 | 0.22 | 1.2 | 5.7 | |
| 10 | M Amadio | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.16 | 0.20 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| 11 | J Spence | defe | OTT vs EDM | 0.05 | 0.17 | 1.0 | 4.3 | |
| 12 | D Gilbert | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.04 | 0.14 | 1.0 | 4.3 | |
| 13 | T Kleven | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.9 | 4.0 | |
| 14 | N Cousins | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.13 | 0.16 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3.9 |
| 15 | L Eller | forw | OTT vs NYI | 0.11 | 0.14 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 3.5 |
| 16 | N Matinpalo | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.8 | 3.3 | |
| 17 | M Highmore | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.11 | 0.13 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3.1 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.