DAL @ NSH

NHL Bridgestone Arena ·Nashville · SOG DAL 30 · 34 NSH

1–5

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (NSH) / 10 (DAL) games this season

DAL away

home NSH

44% 56%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-2

DAL

Away

Metric

NSH

Home

50-31

Record

29-52

62%

Win %

36%

3.4

GF/G

2.6

2.7

GA/G

3.4

LLLLL

LLWWL

Team totals

DAL

NSH

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
M Marchment	1	0	1	1	1	0
T Seguin	0	1	1	3	1	1
M Duchene	0	1	1	0	1	-1
J Benn	0	0	0	3	1	0
S Steel	0	0	0	1	0	-3
J Robertson	0	0	0	0	0	0

Defense

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit
T Harley	-1	1	1
C Ceci	-1	2	0
E Lindell	-1	0	0
I Lyubushkin	-1	1	1
B Smith	-1	1	2
M Dumba	-1	0	2

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Oettinger	17	22	0.773	5
C DeSmith	12	12	1.000	0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
R O'Reilly	1	2	3	2	0	1
J Marchessault	1	1	2	1	0	0
F Forsberg	0	2	2	0	1	1
J Vrana	1	0	1	4	1	1
L Evangelista	0	1	1	4	0	2
S Stamkos	0	1	1	3	0	0

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
B Skjei	0	0	-1	3	0
N Blankenburg	0	0	-1	1	0
J Barron	1	0	3	0	0
J Oesterle	1	1	3	2	0
M Del Gaizo	0	0	1	2	1
A Englund	0	0	1	2	4

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
J Saros	29	30	0.967	1
J Annunen	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2025-04-15) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	J Saros	goal	NSH vs UTA					9.1
2	F Forsberg	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.32	0.41	2.5	1.6	8.6
3	B Skjei	defe	NSH vs UTA	0.13	0.46	2.0		8.4
4	L Evangelista	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.27	0.40	2.1	0.5	7.4
5	M Bunting	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.27	0.36	2.1	0.4	7.2
6	R O'Reilly	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.26	0.41	1.9	0.4	7.1
7	S Stamkos	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.26	0.39	2.0	0.4	7.1
8	J Barron	defe	NSH vs UTA	0.09	0.31	1.7		7.0
9	J Marchessault	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.21	0.35	1.8	0.5	6.3
10	N Blankenburg	defe	NSH vs UTA	0.06	0.26	1.3		5.8
11	M Del Gaizo	defe	NSH vs UTA	0.07	0.22	1.4		5.4
12	E Haula	forw	NSH vs BOS	0.18	0.19	1.4	1.5	4.6
13	J Oesterle	defe	NSH vs UTA	0.05	0.14	1.1		4.5
14	M McCarron	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.14	0.19	1.4	2.4	4.2
15	N Perbix	defe	NSH vs TBL	0.05	0.16	0.9		3.9
16	Z L'Heureux	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.13	0.14	1.3	2.9	3.7
17	F Svechkov	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.12	0.18	1.2	0.4	3.6
18	C Smith	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.11	0.15	1.2	2.1	3.5
19	M Wood	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.11	0.12	1.3	0.7	3.5
20	J Vrana	forw	NSH vs UTA	0.10	0.13	1.1	0.6	3.1
21	N Bastian	forw	DAL vs BOS	0.10	0.09	0.9	2.6	2.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.