DET @ NJD

NHL Prudential Center ·Newark · SOG DET 27 · 30 NJD

5–2

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (NJD) / 10 (DET) games this season

DET away

home NJD

48% 52%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-1

DET

Away

Metric

NJD

Home

38-42

Record

42-39

48%

Win %

52%

2.9

GF/G

3.0

3.2

GA/G

2.7

WWLLW

WLLLW

Team totals

DET

NJD

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
J Berggren	1	1	2	1	2	1
D Larkin	1	1	2	2	1	2
L Raymond	0	2	2	2	0	2
A DeBrincat	1	0	1	6	0	1
J Compher	1	0	1	2	0	1
M Kasper	1	0	1	3	3	1

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
M Seider	2	4	1	1
S Edvinsson	2	4	2	2
B Chiarot	0	1	2	0
A Johansson	0	-1	2	1
J Petry	1	1	3	1
W Lagesson	0	-1	1	1

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Lyon	28	30	0.933	2
P Mrazek	0	0		0

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
E Haula	1	1	2	3	0	-1
D Mercer	1	0	1	1	0	-1
D Sprong	0	1	1	7	1	-2
M Hardman	0	1	1	2	2	0
N Bastian	0	0	0	0	3	-1
T Tatar	0	0	0	2	0	-2

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
B Dumoulin	0	-2	0	1
D Hamilton	0	-1	4	0
S Nemec	0	-1	0	0
B Dillon	0	1	1	1
D Cholowski	0	-3	1	0
S Casey	1	-3	0	1

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
N Daws	22	26	0.846	4
J Allen	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Lineup from last game (2025-04-15) · per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	L Hughes	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.20	0.66	2.5		10.2
2	T Meier	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.37	0.37	2.9	1.6	9.3
3	J Bratt	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.31	0.51	2.5	1.0	9.0
4	N Hischier	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.31	0.59	2.1	1.1	8.7
5	J Allen	goal	NJD vs BOS					8.2
6	D Mercer	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.27	0.37	2.2	0.7	7.5
7	C Brown	forw	NJD vs EDM	0.27	0.35	1.9	0.3	7.0
8	B Pesce	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.09	0.29	1.7		6.5
9	S Noesen	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.22	0.27	1.9	1.6	6.0
10	J Kovacevic	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.06	0.21	1.2		4.8
11	B Dillon	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.06	0.21	1.0		4.6
12	T Hamonic	defe	DET vs OTT	0.05	0.18	1.0		4.5
13	C Glass	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.15	0.21	1.3	1.0	4.2
14	S Nemec	defe	NJD vs BOS	0.06	0.13	1.0		4.1
15	J Bernard-Docker	defe	DET vs BUF	0.03	0.11	0.8		3.9
16	O Palat	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.12	0.16	1.3	1.5	3.8
17	T Tatar	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.12	0.16	1.1	1.0	3.4
18	J van Riemsdyk	forw	DET vs PHI	0.12	0.17	1.0	0.8	3.3
19	M McLaughlin	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.17	0.08	0.9	1.8	3.2
20	A Crookshank	forw	NJD vs OTT	0.09	0.12	1.0	1.6	2.8
21	N Foote	forw	NJD vs BOS	0.08	0.09	0.8	1.3	2.4

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.