VGK @ CGY
NHL
Scotiabank Saddledome
·Calgary
·
SOG VGK 42 · 28 CGY
4–5
SO
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (CGY) / 10 (VGK) games this season
VGK
away
home
CGY
37%
63%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 0-3VGK
Away
Metric
CGY
Home
49-31
Record
39-41
61%
Win %
49%
3.3
GF/G
2.7
2.7
GA/G
2.9
WWLWW
L5
WWLWL
Team totals
VGK
CGY
42
Shots
28
13
Hits
22
19
Blocks
19
6
Takeaways
7
22
Giveaways
25
4
PIM
2
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Saad | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| T Hertl | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| N Roy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| P Dorofeyev | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| I Barbashev | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| K Kolesar | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Theodore | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| B McNabb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| B Hutton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Z Whitecloud | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 2 |
| N Hague | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| K Korczak | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Schmid | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| I Samsonov | 24 | 28 | 0.857 | 4 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M Marner | forw | VGK vs BUF | 0.34 | 0.71 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 10.0 |
| 2 | J Megna | defe | VGK vs TBL | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.9 | 3.9 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.