ANA @ MIN
NHL
Xcel Energy Center
·St. Paul
·
SOG ANA 29 · 40 MIN
2–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (MIN) / 10 (ANA) games this season
ANA
away
home
MIN
53%
47%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 2-0ANA
Away
Metric
MIN
Home
35-45
Record
44-37
44%
Win %
54%
2.7
GF/G
2.8
3.2
GA/G
2.9
LLWWL
L5
WLWWL
Team totals
ANA
MIN
29
Shots
40
17
Hits
22
14
Blocks
16
5
Takeaways
1
13
Giveaways
17
4
PIM
2
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Killorn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 |
| S Colangelo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| C Gauthier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
| L Carlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| T Zegras | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| M McTavish | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J LaCombe | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| R Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| J Trouba | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 5 |
| D Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| O Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Husso | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| L Dostal | 37 | 40 | 0.925 | 3 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Q Hughes | defe | MIN vs VAN | 0.16 | 0.86 | 2.6 | 11.4 | |
| 2 | R Poehling | forw | ANA vs PHI | 0.25 | 0.38 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 6.8 |
| 3 | N Sturm | forw | MIN vs TBL | 0.08 | 0.09 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.