WSH @ NYI

NHL UBS Arena ·Elmont · SOG WSH 36 · 33 NYI

3–1

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (NYI) / 10 (WSH) games this season

WSH away

home NYI

48% 52%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 1-1

WSH

Away

Metric

NYI

Home

50-30

Record

35-45

62%

Win %

44%

3.5

GF/G

2.8

GA/G

3.1

LLWLW

WLLLW

Team totals

WSH

NYI

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
D Strome	3	0	3	6	0	2	7.61
A Ovechkin	0	1	1	2	0	1	10.81
N Dowd	0	1	1	2	1	0	3.87
T Wilson	0	1	1	2	1	1	6.83
P Dubois	0	1	1	3	0	0	6.29
R Leonard	0	0	0	3	1	0	4.55

Defense

Player	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
M Roy	0	0	4	0	5.44
R Sandin	1	1	3	0	4.61
T van Riemsdyk	0	1	2	0	5.0
A Alexeyev	0	-1	1	0	3.72
M Fehérváry	0	1	1	1	4.8
D McIlrath	0	0	2	2	3.15

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
C Lindgren	32	33	0.970	1
C Stevenson	0	0		0

Player	G	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
J Pageau	1	1	1	1	0	6.24
C Cizikas	0	0	2	0	0	4.73
P Engvall	0	0	3	0	1	5.99
M Martin	0	0	3	0	0	2.31
M Tsyplakov	0	0	1	0	0	5.71
M Gatcomb	0	0	1	3	0	3.81

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
T DeAngelo	-1	0	0	8.35
N Dobson	-1	5	0	—
R Pulock	0	1	1	5.6
S Perunovich	1	2	1	5.12
A Pelech	0	1	0	5.62
S Mayfield	-1	2	1	4.38

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
M Hogberg	0	0		0
I Sorokin	33	35	0.943	2

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	B Horvat	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.43	0.55	3.0	0.3	10.8
2	A Ovechkin	forw	WSH vs NYI	0.40	0.51	3.2	1.3	10.8
3	D Rittich	goal	NYI vs EDM					9.4
4	I Sorokin	goal	NYI vs WSH					9.3
5	T DeAngelo	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.13	0.45	2.2		8.4
6	K Palmieri	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.32	0.44	2.3	0.5	8.3
7	C Lindgren	goal	WSH vs NYI					8.3
8	A Lee	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.30	0.37	2.1	0.7	7.6
9	D Strome	forw	WSH vs NYI	0.28	0.43	2.1	0.2	7.6
10	T Wilson	forw	WSH vs NYI	0.26	0.36	1.9	2.7	6.8
11	S Holmstrom	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.25	0.34	1.6	0.5	6.3
12	P Dubois	forw	WSH vs NYI	0.22	0.32	1.9	0.6	6.3
13	J Pageau	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.23	0.35	1.7	0.6	6.2
14	P Engvall	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.23	0.23	1.9	1.3	6.0
15	M Tsyplakov	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.21	0.24	1.8	1.1	5.7
16	A Pelech	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.06	0.25	1.3		5.6
17	R Pulock	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.06	0.24	1.2		5.6
18	C McMichael	forw	WSH vs NYI	0.19	0.26	1.7	0.3	5.5
19	M Roy	defe	WSH vs NYI	0.07	0.26	1.2		5.4
20	S Perunovich	defe	NYI vs WSH	0.06	0.23	1.2		5.1
21	T van Riemsdyk	defe	WSH vs NYI	0.04	0.15	1.0		5.0
22	M Fehérváry	defe	WSH vs NYI	0.06	0.19	1.1		4.8
23	H Fasching	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.16	0.24	1.5	0.6	4.8
24	C Cizikas	forw	NYI vs WSH	0.17	0.21	1.5	1.4	4.7
25	R Sandin	defe	WSH vs NYI	0.05	0.17	0.9		4.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.