CBJ @ PHI

NHL Wells Fargo Center ·Philadelphia · SOG CBJ 34 · 29 PHI

3–0

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (PHI) / 10 (CBJ) games this season

CBJ away

home PHI

57% 43%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

H2H this season: 2-1

CBJ

Away

Metric

PHI

Home

38-42

Record

33-47

48%

Win %

41%

3.3

GF/G

2.9

3.3

GA/G

3.5

WWWWL

LWWLW

Team totals

CBJ

PHI

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
S Monahan	0	2	2	2	1	1	7.64
A Fantilli	1	0	1	3	0	1	6.86
K Johnson	1	0	1	3	0	0	6.61
K Marchenko	0	1	1	2	0	2	8.3
S Kuraly	0	0	0	1	1	0	—
D Voronkov	0	0	0	2	2	1	5.21

Defense

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
I Provorov	0	1	1	0	0	6.39
Z Werenski	0	2	1	0	0	12.58
D Fabbro	1	0	1	1	0	6.47
E Gudbranson	0	0	1	2	2	4.62
D Mateychuk	0	0	0	0	1	5.49
J Harris	0	0	0	1	0	—

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
D Tarasov	0	0		0
J Greaves	29	29	1.000	0

Player	SOG	Hit	+/-	DK
O Tippett	2	1	-1	6.05
B Brink	3	0	-1	5.89
T Konecny	6	0	0	9.66
S Couturier	1	1	0	10.8
G Hathaway	0	9	0	3.18
J Pelletier	1	1	-1	—

Player	+/-	BLK	Hit	DK
T Sanheim	-2	1	4	9.04
J Drysdale	-1	1	0	5.73
C York	0	1	2	4.84
N Seeler	-1	4	2	7.17
E Zamula	0	1	0	4.02
E Andrae	0	1	1	4.21

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
S Ersson	31	34	0.912	3
I Fedotov	0	0		0

Statlab projections

Pre-game projection from per-position MultiOutput regressor

#	Player	Pos	Team	G	A	SOG	Hit	DK
1	Z Werenski	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.41	0.63	2.8		12.6
2	M Michkov	forw	PHI vs CBJ	0.41	0.59	3.2	0.3	11.3
3	S Couturier	forw	PHI vs CBJ	0.40	0.54	3.1	1.0	10.8
4	T Konecny	forw	PHI vs CBJ	0.33	0.58	2.6	0.9	9.7
5	T Foerster	forw	PHI vs CBJ	0.35	0.47	2.6	1.5	9.2
6	T Sanheim	defe	PHI vs CBJ	0.16	0.45	1.9		9.0
7	B Jenner	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.33	0.40	2.4	1.3	8.5
8	S Ersson	goal	PHI vs CBJ					8.4
9	K Marchenko	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.33	0.38	2.4	0.9	8.3
10	S Monahan	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.27	0.47	2.0	0.9	7.6
11	N Seeler	defe	PHI vs CBJ	0.06	0.29	1.3		7.2
12	A Fantilli	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.27	0.31	2.0	1.0	6.9
13	J Greaves	goal	CBJ vs PHI					6.7
14	K Johnson	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.22	0.45	1.7	0.4	6.6
15	D Fabbro	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.08	0.34	1.5		6.5
16	N Cates	forw	PHI vs CBJ	0.21	0.40	1.8	1.8	6.4
17	I Provorov	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.09	0.29	1.5		6.4
18	O Tippett	forw	PHI vs CBJ	0.19	0.27	2.1	1.2	6.1
19	B Brink	forw	PHI vs CBJ	0.19	0.37	1.6	0.8	5.9
20	J Drysdale	defe	PHI vs CBJ	0.06	0.24	1.2		5.7
21	D Mateychuk	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.07	0.22	1.2		5.5
22	D Voronkov	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.19	0.21	1.7	1.6	5.2
23	C York	defe	PHI vs CBJ	0.05	0.20	1.0		4.8
24	C Sillinger	forw	CBJ vs PHI	0.17	0.21	1.4	1.2	4.7
25	E Gudbranson	defe	CBJ vs PHI	0.06	0.18	1.1		4.6

Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.