CHI @ OTT
NHL
Canadian Tire Centre
·Ottawa
·
SOG CHI 16 · 37 OTT
4–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (OTT) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
OTT
29%
71%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-0CHI
Away
Metric
OTT
Home
24-57
Record
44-36
30%
Win %
55%
2.7
GF/G
2.9
3.6
GA/G
2.8
WLWLW
L5
WWLWW
Team totals
CHI
OTT
16
Shots
37
16
Hits
26
14
Blocks
16
5
Takeaways
8
14
Giveaways
16
8
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Bedard | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8.27 |
| J Veleno | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
| F Nazar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8.41 |
| R Donato | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.73 |
| O Moore | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3.8 |
| N Foligno | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4.31 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Rinzel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8.16 |
| W Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4.59 |
| A Vlasic | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 | 6.03 |
| A Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5.02 |
| C Murphy | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5.94 |
| K Korchinski | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4.11 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| S Knight | 34 | 37 | 0.919 | 3 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T Chabot | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.15 | 0.56 | 2.2 | 9.7 | |
| 2 | D Batherson | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.37 | 0.38 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 9.4 |
| 3 | R Greig | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.31 | 0.52 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 8.6 |
| 4 | F Nazar | forw | CHI vs OTT | 0.31 | 0.38 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 8.4 |
| 5 | C Bedard | forw | CHI vs OTT | 0.26 | 0.54 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 8.3 |
| 6 | S Rinzel | defe | CHI vs OTT | 0.12 | 0.48 | 2.1 | 8.2 | |
| 7 | T Stützle | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.31 | 0.43 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 8.0 |
| 8 | R Donato | forw | CHI vs OTT | 0.29 | 0.38 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7.7 |
| 9 | I Mikheyev | forw | CHI vs OTT | 0.29 | 0.34 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7.6 |
| 10 | D Cozens | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.26 | 0.32 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 7.1 |
| 11 | S Pinto | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.30 | 0.36 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 7.0 |
| 12 | F Zetterlund | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.23 | 0.36 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6.9 |
| 13 | S Knight | goal | CHI vs OTT | 6.7 | ||||
| 14 | A Vlasic | defe | CHI vs OTT | 0.07 | 0.18 | 1.2 | 6.0 | |
| 15 | D Perron | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.21 | 0.26 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6.0 |
| 16 | C Murphy | defe | CHI vs OTT | 0.06 | 0.20 | 1.3 | 5.9 | |
| 17 | A Zub | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.06 | 0.22 | 1.2 | 5.7 | |
| 18 | T Teravainen | forw | CHI vs OTT | 0.16 | 0.31 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5.3 |
| 19 | T Bertuzzi | forw | CHI vs OTT | 0.20 | 0.21 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 5.2 |
| 20 | A Levshunov | defe | CHI vs OTT | 0.05 | 0.22 | 1.2 | 5.0 | |
| 21 | W Kaiser | defe | CHI vs OTT | 0.04 | 0.15 | 1.1 | 4.6 | |
| 22 | M Amadio | forw | OTT vs CHI | 0.16 | 0.20 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| 23 | J Spence | defe | OTT vs EDM | 0.05 | 0.17 | 1.0 | 4.3 | |
| 24 | D Gilbert | defe | OTT vs CHI | 0.04 | 0.14 | 1.0 | 4.3 | |
| 25 | N Foligno | forw | CHI vs OTT | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 4.3 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.