LAK @ EDM
NHL
Rogers Place
·Edmonton
·
SOG LAK 36 · 21 EDM
5–0
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (EDM) / 10 (LAK) games this season
LAK
away
home
EDM
45%
55%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-2LAK
Away
Metric
EDM
Home
46-33
Record
47-33
58%
Win %
59%
3.0
GF/G
3.2
2.5
GA/G
2.9
WWLWW
L5
WWWLL
Team totals
LAK
EDM
36
Shots
21
25
Hits
35
10
Blocks
15
2
Takeaways
0
15
Giveaways
11
12
PIM
53
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Kempe | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9.16 |
| W Foegele | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6.92 |
| K Fiala | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9.22 |
| T Moore | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6.97 |
| A Kopitar | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7.18 |
| Q Byfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8.02 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Doughty | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6.89 |
| M Anderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5.79 |
| V Gavrikov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — |
| B Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5.2 |
| J Spence | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — |
| J Moverare | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.04 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Kuemper | 16 | 16 | 1.000 | 0 |
| D Rittich | 5 | 5 | 1.000 | 0 |
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Pos | Team | G | A | SOG | Hit | DK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D Kuemper | goal | LAK vs EDM | 11.2 | ||||
| 2 | E Bouchard | defe | EDM vs LAK | 0.20 | 0.68 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | C Pickard | goal | EDM vs LAK | 9.8 | ||||
| 4 | R Nugent-Hopkins | forw | EDM vs LAK | 0.36 | 0.46 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 9.7 |
| 5 | D Nurse | defe | EDM vs LAK | 0.14 | 0.53 | 2.2 | 9.3 | |
| 6 | K Fiala | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.36 | 0.42 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 9.2 |
| 7 | A Kempe | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.34 | 0.47 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 9.2 |
| 8 | Q Byfield | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.28 | 0.50 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8.0 |
| 9 | A Forsberg | goal | LAK vs OTT | 7.6 | ||||
| 10 | A Kuzmenko | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.27 | 0.47 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7.5 |
| 11 | A Kopitar | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.26 | 0.49 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 7.2 |
| 12 | T Moore | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.26 | 0.35 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7.0 |
| 13 | W Foegele | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.23 | 0.35 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 6.9 |
| 14 | A Laferriere | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.24 | 0.29 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 6.9 |
| 15 | D Doughty | defe | LAK vs EDM | 0.10 | 0.38 | 1.6 | 6.9 | |
| 16 | A Henrique | forw | EDM vs LAK | 0.24 | 0.33 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6.5 |
| 17 | M Anderson | defe | LAK vs EDM | 0.08 | 0.24 | 1.3 | 5.8 | |
| 18 | B Clarke | defe | LAK vs EDM | 0.08 | 0.21 | 1.3 | 5.2 | |
| 19 | B Dumoulin | defe | LAK vs BOS | 0.07 | 0.22 | 1.2 | 4.9 | |
| 20 | C Perry | forw | LAK vs EDM | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4.4 |
| 21 | V Podkolzin | forw | EDM vs LAK | 0.15 | 0.16 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| 22 | M Janmark | forw | EDM vs LAK | 0.12 | 0.19 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4.0 |
| 23 | A Mangiapane | forw | EDM vs NYI | 0.12 | 0.16 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.8 |
| 24 | T Emberson | defe | EDM vs LAK | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.8 | 3.7 | |
| 25 | J Brown | defe | EDM vs LAK | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.7 | 3.5 |
Trained on ~126k player-game rows since 2021. NHL single-game variance is high — these are central-tendency point estimates, not floor/ceiling ranges.