PIT @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG PIT 25 · 30 BUF
3–7
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (PIT) games this season
PIT
away
home
BUF
42%
58%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 0-2PIT
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
29-44
Record
29-41
40%
Win %
41%
2.9
GF/G
3.1
3.7
GA/G
3.5
LLWLW
L5
WWLLW
Team totals
PIT
BUF
25
Shots
30
28
Hits
15
8
Blocks
14
8
Takeaways
7
14
Giveaways
15
15
PIM
13
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Hayes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| B Lizotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
| S Crosby | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 |
| R Rakell | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -2 |
| J Koppanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 |
| B Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Letang | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 3 |
| M Grzelcyk | 0 | 1 | -3 | 2 | 0 |
| C Timmins | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| R Graves | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| R Shea | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
| V Kolyachonok | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Nedeljkovic | 15 | 18 | 0.833 | 3 |
| T Jarry | 8 | 12 | 0.667 | 4 |