TOR @ NYR
NHL
Madison Square Garden
·New York
·
SOG TOR 28 · 30 NYR
4–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (NYR) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
NYR
45%
55%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-1TOR
Away
Metric
NYR
Home
41-27
Record
33-36
60%
Win %
48%
3.2
GF/G
3.0
2.9
GA/G
3.0
WWLLW
L5
LLWWL
Team totals
TOR
NYR
28
Shots
30
27
Hits
33
20
Blocks
10
2
Takeaways
4
11
Giveaways
21
2
PIM
2
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Tavares | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| B McMann | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| W Nylander | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| M Knies | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 |
| A Matthews | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| D Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J McCabe | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| O Ekman-Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| C Tanev | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| M Rielly | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 |
| B Carlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| S Benoit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Woll | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| A Stolarz | 27 | 30 | 0.900 | 3 |