TOR @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TOR 29 · 27 BUF
6–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
BUF
62%
38%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 0-1TOR
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
20-12
Record
11-21
62%
Win %
34%
3.0
GF/G
2.9
2.6
GA/G
3.4
WWLWW
L5
LLLLL
Team totals
TOR
BUF
29
Shots
27
26
Hits
24
21
Blocks
11
2
Takeaways
3
11
Giveaways
8
13
PIM
15
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Nylander | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| M Domi | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| B McMann | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| N Robertson | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| J Tavares | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
| M Marner | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Tanev | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| C Timmins | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| J McCabe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| O Ekman-Larsson | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| M Rielly | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| S Benoit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Woll | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M Murray | 24 | 27 | 0.889 | 3 |