TOR @ CGY
NHL
Scotiabank Saddledome
·Calgary
·
SOG TOR 32 · 26 CGY
4–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (CGY) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
CGY
47%
53%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 0-1TOR
Away
Metric
CGY
Home
21-21
Record
21-23
50%
Win %
48%
3.6
GF/G
3.2
3.3
GA/G
3.2
LLLLW
L5
WWWWL
Team totals
TOR
CGY
32
Shots
26
27
Hits
19
13
Blocks
13
11
Takeaways
11
6
Giveaways
9
8
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Matthews | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| W Nylander | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1 |
| M Marner | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| M Knies | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| P Holmberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| N Gregor | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Brodie | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 |
| J McCabe | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| M Rielly | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 4 |
| S Benoit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| M Giordano | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| T Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I Samsonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| M Jones | 23 | 26 | 0.885 | 3 |