TOR @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TOR 27 · 34 BUF
3–9
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
BUF
41%
59%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-0TOR
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
16-13
Record
13-20
55%
Win %
39%
3.7
GF/G
2.8
3.3
GA/G
3.5
LWLWL
L5
LLWLW
Team totals
TOR
BUF
27
Shots
34
20
Hits
28
14
Blocks
19
7
Takeaways
5
2
Giveaways
3
10
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Jarnkrok | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| M Domi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -4 |
| A Matthews | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| W Nylander | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| M Knies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| T Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Liljegren | 0 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 2 |
| T Brodie | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 |
| M Rielly | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0 |
| J McCabe | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 3 |
| S Benoit | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 2 |
| C Timmins | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I Samsonov | 14 | 19 | 0.737 | 5 |
| M Jones | 11 | 15 | 0.733 | 4 |