ARI @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG ARI 23 · 38 BUF
2–5
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (ARI) games this season
ARI
away
home
BUF
30%
70%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
ARI
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
13-13
Record
11-17
50%
Win %
39%
3.3
GF/G
2.8
3.0
GA/G
3.4
LLWWW
L5
LWLLL
Team totals
ARI
BUF
23
Shots
38
27
Hits
21
11
Blocks
9
5
Takeaways
9
6
Giveaways
5
4
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Carcone | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| M Kelemen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
| M Maccelli | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 |
| L Cooley | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 |
| L Crouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
| N Schmaltz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Dumba | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| J Moser | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| J Välimäki | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 |
| T Dermott | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 |
| J Brown | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 4 |
| M Kesselring | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Vejmelka | 33 | 37 | 0.892 | 4 |
| C Ingram | 0 | 0 | 0 |