FLA @ TOR
NHL
Scotiabank Arena
·Toronto
·
SOG FLA 43 · 52 TOR
3–2
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (TOR) / 10 (FLA) games this season
FLA
away
home
TOR
46%
54%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 4-4FLA
Away
Metric
TOR
Home
49-44
Record
55-37
53%
Win %
60%
3.5
GF/G
3.4
3.3
GA/G
2.8
LWWWW
L5
WLLLW
Team totals
FLA
TOR
43
Shots
52
49
Hits
63
20
Blocks
24
16
Takeaways
12
18
Giveaways
21
4
PIM
4
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Verhaeghe | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| N Cousins | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| A Duclair | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| A Lundell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| A Barkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| M Tkachuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Montour | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 |
| G Forsling | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 3 |
| A Ekblad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| M Staal | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 |
| R Gudas | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| J Mahura | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Bobrovsky | 50 | 52 | 0.962 | 2 |
| A Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 |