TOR @ TBL
NHL
Amalie Arena
·Tampa
·
SOG TOR 27 · 39 TBL
4–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (TBL) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
TBL
64%
36%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 2-3TOR
Away
Metric
TBL
Home
51-33
Record
47-37
61%
Win %
56%
3.4
GF/G
3.5
2.8
GA/G
3.1
WLWWW
L5
LWWLL
Team totals
TOR
TBL
27
Shots
39
62
Hits
61
26
Blocks
15
13
Takeaways
15
7
Giveaways
9
18
PIM
18
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R O'Reilly | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| M Marner | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| N Acciari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| A Matthews | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| C Jarnkrok | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| M Knies | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Brodie | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 1 |
| M Rielly | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| J McCabe | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 6 |
| J Holl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| M Giordano | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| L Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I Samsonov | 36 | 39 | 0.923 | 3 |
| J Woll | 0 | 0 | 0 |