MTL @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG MTL 41 · 33 BUF
4–3
SO
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (MTL) games this season
MTL
away
home
BUF
40%
60%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-1MTL
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
29-44
Record
35-37
40%
Win %
49%
2.9
GF/G
3.6
3.7
GA/G
3.7
WLWLL
L5
WWLLL
Team totals
MTL
BUF
41
Shots
33
16
Hits
10
13
Blocks
15
10
Takeaways
11
7
Giveaways
8
8
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Belzile | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| B Gallagher | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| J Drouin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| J Ylonen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| J Evans | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| K Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Matheson | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 1 |
| D Savard | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| J Kovacevic | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| J Harris | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| J Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| J Barron | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 2 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Montembeault | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| J Allen | 30 | 33 | 0.909 | 3 |