TOR @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TOR 29 · 32 BUF
6–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
BUF
56%
44%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 0-1TOR
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
34-23
Record
28-26
60%
Win %
52%
3.4
GF/G
3.7
2.7
GA/G
3.5
LWWLW
L5
WWLLL
Team totals
TOR
BUF
29
Shots
32
16
Hits
17
18
Blocks
7
15
Takeaways
6
1
Giveaways
8
4
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Marner | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| R O'Reilly | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| J Tavares | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| W Nylander | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| M Bunting | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| D Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Rielly | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| J Holl | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| T Brodie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| T Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| M Giordano | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| C Timmins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Woll | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| I Samsonov | 29 | 32 | 0.906 | 3 |