TBL @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TBL 36 · 34 BUF
3–5
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TBL) games this season
TBL
away
home
BUF
50%
50%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-2TBL
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
37-24
Record
31-29
61%
Win %
52%
3.6
GF/G
3.7
3.0
GA/G
3.6
LLLWL
L5
LLWWW
Team totals
TBL
BUF
36
Shots
34
28
Hits
17
12
Blocks
13
6
Takeaways
10
13
Giveaways
10
17
PIM
17
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Killorn | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| B Point | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -2 |
| S Stamkos | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
| N Paul | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| T Jeannot | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| N Kucherov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Sergachev | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 |
| I Cole | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| V Hedman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| N Perbix | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 |
| Z Bogosian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| D Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Vasilevskiy | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B Elliott | 29 | 34 | 0.853 | 5 |