PIT @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG PIT 33 · 31 BUF
4–3
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (PIT) games this season
PIT
away
home
BUF
50%
50%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-0PIT
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
14-12
Record
12-14
54%
Win %
46%
3.6
GF/G
4.0
3.0
GA/G
3.7
WWWLL
L5
WWLWL
Team totals
PIT
BUF
33
Shots
31
19
Hits
13
11
Blocks
13
11
Takeaways
8
5
Giveaways
4
10
PIM
25
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Rakell | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1 |
| E Malkin | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| J Guentzel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1 |
| J Carter | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| B McGinn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| K Kapanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Petry | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| B Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| J Rutta | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| M Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| P Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| C Ruhwedel | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T Jarry | 28 | 31 | 0.903 | 3 |
| C DeSmith | 0 | 0 | 0 |