TBL @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TBL 25 · 37 BUF
6–5
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TBL) games this season
TBL
away
home
BUF
54%
46%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 0-1TBL
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
12-8
Record
9-12
60%
Win %
43%
3.5
GF/G
3.6
3.2
GA/G
3.5
WLWWW
L5
LWWLL
Team totals
TBL
BUF
25
Shots
37
25
Hits
8
10
Blocks
9
9
Takeaways
6
8
Giveaways
3
4
PIM
8
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Stamkos | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| N Kucherov | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -1 |
| B Point | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| B Hagel | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| C Perry | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 |
| A Killorn | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Sergachev | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| E Cernak | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 |
| I Cole | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 2 |
| N Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Z Bogosian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| C Foote | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Vasilevskiy | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B Elliott | 32 | 37 | 0.865 | 5 |