ARI @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG ARI 24 · 33 BUF
4–1
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (ARI) games this season
ARI
away
home
BUF
25%
75%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
ARI
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
4-7
Record
7-5
36%
Win %
58%
2.8
GF/G
4.1
4.1
GA/G
3.2
WLWLL
L5
LLWWW
Team totals
ARI
BUF
24
Shots
33
15
Hits
12
9
Blocks
6
6
Takeaways
6
5
Giveaways
6
10
PIM
10
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Keller | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| L O'Brien | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| M Maccelli | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| L Crouse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| B Hayton | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| T Boyd | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Moser | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| J Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| J Välimäki | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| S Gostisbehere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| T Stecher | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| P Nemeth | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Vejmelka | 32 | 33 | 0.970 | 1 |
| C Ingram | 0 | 0 | 0 |