TBL @ SJS

NHL SAP Center at San Jose ·San Jose · SOG TBL 26 · 27 SJS

4–3

Final

Statlab take

baseline_gbm

Based on last 10 (SJS) / 8 (TBL) games this season

TBL away

home SJS

52% 48%

baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.

Season comparison

TBL

Away

Metric

SJS

Home

4-4

Record

3-7

50%

Win %

30%

3.0

GF/G

2.1

3.1

GA/G

3.0

WLWWL

WLWLW

Team totals

TBL

SJS

Shots

Hits

Blocks

Takeaways

Giveaways

PIM

Box score

Forwards

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
A Killorn	1	1	2	2	0	0
B Hagel	0	2	2	2	0	3
B Point	0	2	2	2	0	2
R Colton	1	0	1	2	3	1
N Kucherov	1	0	1	4	1	2
N Paul	0	1	1	2	2	-1

Defense

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
M Sergachev	0	0	0	4	0
E Cernak	0	1	1	1	3
V Hedman	1	0	1	2	0
I Cole	0	0	1	2	2
N Perbix	0	0	0	0	2
C Foote	0	0	0	0	0

Goalie

Player	Saves	Shots	SV%	GA
A Vasilevskiy	24	27	0.889	3
B Elliott	0	0		0

Player	G	A	+/-	BLK	Hit
E Karlsson	2	0	-1	0	1
M Ferraro	0	0	0	0	0
M Benning	0	0	-2	0	0
M Vlasic	0	1	0	0	1
J Megna	0	0	-2	1	2
R Simek	0	0	1	1	1

Player	G	A	P	SOG	Hit	+/-
T Hertl	0	2	2	0	2	0
N Sturm	1	0	1	2	1	-1
T Meier	0	1	1	5	0	-1
L Kunin	0	1	1	3	3	0
O Lindblom	0	0	0	3	1	0
S Lorentz	0	0	0	1	2	0