TOR @ BUF
NHL
Tim Hortons Field
·Hamilton
·
SOG TOR 36 · 38 BUF
2–5
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
BUF
51%
49%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-1TOR
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
37-21
Record
19-40
64%
Win %
32%
3.7
GF/G
2.7
3.0
GA/G
3.6
LWWLL
L5
WLLWW
Team totals
TOR
BUF
36
Shots
38
30
Hits
30
7
Blocks
17
9
Takeaways
6
15
Giveaways
9
32
PIM
30
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Matthews | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 |
| O Kase | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| A Kerfoot | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| W Nylander | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1 |
| J Tavares | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 |
| M Marner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Rielly | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 0 |
| J Holl | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 |
| T Brodie | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| R Sandin | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 |
| I Lyubushkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| T Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Mrazek | 33 | 37 | 0.892 | 4 |
| E Kallgren | 0 | 0 | 0 |