TBL @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TBL 36 · 18 BUF
6–1
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TBL) games this season
TBL
away
home
BUF
60%
40%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
H2H this season: 1-0TBL
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
23-14
Record
10-24
62%
Win %
29%
3.3
GF/G
2.7
2.9
GA/G
3.5
LWWLL
L5
LLLLL
Team totals
TBL
BUF
36
Shots
18
7
Hits
12
11
Blocks
8
5
Takeaways
6
5
Giveaways
3
8
PIM
4
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Kucherov | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| S Stamkos | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| A Killorn | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| A Cirelli | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| O Palat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| B Point | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Sergachev | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| E Cernak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| V Hedman | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Z Bogosian | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| C Foote | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| J Rutta | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Vasilevskiy | 17 | 18 | 0.944 | 1 |
| B Elliott | 0 | 0 | 0 |