TOR @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TOR 26 · 27 BUF
5–4
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 10 (BUF) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
BUF
61%
39%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
TOR
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
9-6
Record
6-7
60%
Win %
46%
2.5
GF/G
3.0
2.5
GA/G
2.9
WWLWW
L5
WLLLL
Team totals
TOR
BUF
26
Shots
27
7
Hits
7
12
Blocks
9
1
Takeaways
4
10
Giveaways
3
4
PIM
2
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Tavares | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| A Kerfoot | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| D Kampf | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| O Kase | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| M Bunting | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| A Matthews | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Rielly | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| J Muzzin | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 1 |
| T Brodie | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| J Holl | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 1 |
| T Liljegren | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0 |
| T Dermott | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Woll | 23 | 27 | 0.852 | 4 |
| J Campbell | 0 | 0 | 0 |