TBL @ BUF
NHL
KeyBank Center
·Buffalo
·
SOG TBL 36 · 25 BUF
1–5
Final
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Based on last 5 (BUF) / 5 (TBL) games this season
TBL
away
home
BUF
25%
75%
baseline_gbm trained on ~5,000 NHL games (54.8% test accuracy). NHL is high-variance — even good models hover near 60%. Treat as a soft lean, not a lock.
Season comparison
TBL
Away
Metric
BUF
Home
2-3
Record
3-2
40%
Win %
60%
3.0
GF/G
2.8
4.2
GA/G
2.0
LLWWL
L5
LLWWW
Team totals
TBL
BUF
36
Shots
25
17
Hits
12
8
Blocks
18
4
Takeaways
6
7
Giveaways
4
4
PIM
6
Box score
Forwards
| Player | G | A | P | SOG | Hit | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Killorn | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 |
| M Joseph | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| C Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
| A Barré-Boulet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| B Katchouk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| T Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Defense
| Player | G | A | +/- | BLK | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V Hedman | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0 |
| R McDonagh | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| E Cernak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| M Sergachev | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0 |
| J Rutta | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 1 |
| A Sustr | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 |
Goalie
| Player | Saves | Shots | SV% | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Vasilevskiy | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| B Elliott | 20 | 23 | 0.870 | 3 |