NBA games

NY @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
130–93
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY38303032130
CLE2623222293

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home CLE
77% 23%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns S 26 19 14 3
OG Anunoby S 27 17 7 4
Landry Shamet 19 16 0 2
Mikal Bridges S 30 15 3 5
Jalen Brunson S 31 15 2 5
Miles McBride 17 11 2 2
Mitchell Robinson 18 8 10 0
Tyler Kolek 8 8 1 1
Pacome Dadiet 7 6 1 0
Josh Hart S 24 6 11 6
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 32 31 4 1
Evan Mobley S 33 15 7 4
James Harden S 33 12 4 2
Thomas Bryant 9 10 3 0
Jarrett Allen S 26 6 3 1
Sam Merrill 18 5 1 1
Keon Ellis 16 5 2 1
Max Strus S 22 5 2 2
Jaylon Tyson 16 2 3 2
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 7 2 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Evan Mobley · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Evan Mobley makes 2-foot two point shot (Jarrett Allen assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Donovan Mitchell CLE
13%
2 Jalen Brunson NY
13%
3 Jarrett Allen CLE
12%
4 James Harden CLE
10%
5 Evan Mobley CLE
10%
6 Mikal Bridges NY
9%
7 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
9%
8 OG Anunoby NY
9%
9 Josh Hart NY
8%
10 Dean Wade CLE
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
26%
Jumper
25%
Layup
23%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 28.0 3.2 6.7
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE 26.3 4.7 3.7
3 James Harden CLE 20.6 5.2 5.6
4 OG Anunoby NY 18.9 6.3 2.1
5 Evan Mobley CLE 17.9 7.7 4.0
6 Mikal Bridges NY 17.4 4.2 2.6
7 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 17.2 9.9 6.1
8 Jarrett Allen CLE 13.7 6.9 1.3
9 Josh Hart NY 13.6 6.8 4.0
10 Max Strus CLE 9.2 4.3 1.9
11 Sam Merrill CLE 7.5 1.4 1.2
12 Miles McBride NY 5.7 1.9 1.1
13 Landry Shamet NY 5.5 1.2 0.7
14 Dean Wade CLE 5.4 3.2 1.1
15 Tyrese Proctor CLE 5.1 1.6 1.6
16 Mitchell Robinson NY 4.5 4.6 0.5
17 Jordan Clarkson NY 4.3 1.6 0.8
18 Jose Alvarado NY 4.2 1.4 0.9
19 Nae'Qwan Tomlin CLE 4.2 2.7 0.7
20 Larry Nance Jr. CLE 4.0 2.1 0.9
21 Tyler Kolek NY 3.0 0.8 1.4
22 Jaylon Tyson CLE 3.0 2.4 0.8
23 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 2.9 2.2 1.0
24 Thomas Bryant CLE 2.9 2.1 0.4
25 Jeremy Sochan NY 2.8 1.8 0.6
26 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.7 1.2 0.4
27 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.3 2.9 0.2
28 Keon Ellis CLE 1.7 0.9 0.3
29 Mohamed Diawara NY 1.7 0.9 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.