PHX @ OKC
NBA
Paycom Center
·Final
84–119
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 20 | 24 | 22 | 18 | 84 |
| OKC | 35 | 30 | 32 | 22 | 119 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX
away
home
OKC
21%
79%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker S | 33 | 23 | 6 | 2 |
| Dillon Brooks S | 32 | 18 | 7 | 2 |
| Jalen Green S | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Collin Gillespie | 23 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Royce O'Neale | 23 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Jamaree Bouyea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Jordan Goodwin S | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oso Ighodaro S | 26 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
| Khaman Maluach | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Dillon Brooks ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:11 Q1
"Dillon Brooks makes 26-foot three point jumper (Devin Booker assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jalen Williams
OKC
9%
2
Devin Booker
PHX
9%
3
Jalen Green
PHX
9%
4
Dillon Brooks
PHX
8%
5
Chet Holmgren
OKC
8%
6
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
8%
7
Isaiah Hartenstein
OKC
7%
8
Oso Ighodaro
PHX
6%
9
Grayson Allen
PHX
6%
10
Jared McCain
OKC
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
11%
Free Throw
26%
Jumper
21%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Booker | PHX | 27.8 | 3.7 | 6.7 |
| 2 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 27.7 | 4.1 | 6.6 |
| 3 | Jalen Green | PHX | 22.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| 4 | Jalen Williams | OKC | 16.5 | 3.9 | 4.8 |
| 5 | Dillon Brooks | PHX | 15.5 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 6 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 14.8 | 7.4 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Grayson Allen | PHX | 11.1 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| 8 | Jordan Goodwin | PHX | 9.6 | 5.0 | 1.9 |
| 9 | Ajay Mitchell | OKC | 9.3 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| 10 | Royce O'Neale | PHX | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Collin Gillespie | PHX | 7.6 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 12 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 7.1 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 13 | Oso Ighodaro | PHX | 7.1 | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| 14 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 6.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 6.6 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Rasheer Fleming | PHX | 5.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Ryan Dunn | PHX | 5.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Nikola Topic | OKC | 5.7 | 1.6 | 4.3 |
| 19 | Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 5.3 | 8.1 | 3.0 |
| 20 | Haywood Highsmith | PHX | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Jared McCain | OKC | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Khaman Maluach | PHX | 5.0 | 5.3 | 0.4 |
| 23 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Jamaree Bouyea | PHX | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 25 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 4.4 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 26 | Amir Coffey | PHX | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 27 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 4.0 | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| 28 | Alex Caruso | OKC | 3.7 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.