NBA games

SA @ NY

NBA Madison Square Garden ·Canceled
Tip-off

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (SA) games this season
SA away
home NY
29% 71%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Box score available after tip-off.

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
13%
2 OG Anunoby NY
12%
3 Mikal Bridges NY
12%
4 Victor Wembanyama SA
11%
5 Stephon Castle SA
11%
6 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
10%
7 Josh Hart NY
9%
8 De'Aaron Fox SA
8%
9 Julian Champagnie SA
8%
10 Devin Vassell SA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
5%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
48%
Jumper
25%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 26.5 3.9 6.3
2 Victor Wembanyama SA 23.3 8.9 3.0
3 OG Anunoby NY 18.2 4.9 2.2
4 Stephon Castle SA 17.5 4.8 5.4
5 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 15.8 10.0 3.7
6 Dylan Harper SA 14.0 5.6 2.8
7 Mikal Bridges NY 13.9 4.1 3.3
8 De'Aaron Fox SA 13.2 4.1 5.4
9 Josh Hart NY 11.9 8.1 4.3
10 Devin Vassell SA 11.8 5.2 2.5
11 Julian Champagnie SA 10.2 5.1 1.7
12 Landry Shamet NY 7.1 1.7 1.1
13 Keldon Johnson SA 5.6 2.5 0.8
14 Miles McBride NY 4.8 1.5 1.2
15 Mitchell Robinson NY 4.1 5.2 0.6
16 Jose Alvarado NY 3.5 1.6 1.0
17 Jordan Clarkson NY 3.2 1.4 0.9
18 Carter Bryant SA 2.6 1.1 0.4
19 Luke Kornet SA 2.2 2.5 0.5
20 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.1 2.9 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.