NO @ CHI
NBA
United Center
·Final
114–104
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 21 | 31 | 24 | 38 | 114 |
| CHI | 26 | 21 | 28 | 29 | 104 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHI) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
CHI
63%
37%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Fears S | 28 | 20 | 2 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 34 | 20 | 10 | 2 |
| Zion Williamson | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 |
| Jordan Poole | 27 | 16 | 2 | 4 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 25 | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| Herbert Jones S | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Bryce McGowens | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Yves Missi | 11 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Derik Queen S | 25 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trey Murphy III ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:13 Q1
"Trey Murphy III makes 14-foot two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Trey Murphy III
NO
10%
2
Derik Queen
NO
10%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
10%
4
Saddiq Bey
NO
9%
5
Jeremiah Fears
NO
9%
6
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
9%
7
Josh Giddey
CHI
8%
8
Coby White
CHI
8%
9
Matas Buzelis
CHI
7%
10
Kevin Huerter
CHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
44%
Layup
24%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coby White | CHI | 24.9 | 3.5 | 5.9 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.6 | 5.7 | 4.8 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.7 | 6.0 | 4.5 |
| 4 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 23.2 | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| 5 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 19.9 | 8.0 | 3.2 |
| 6 | Jordan Poole | NO | 19.2 | 2.5 | 3.8 |
| 7 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 17.7 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| 8 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 17.6 | 7.9 | 3.5 |
| 9 | Derik Queen | NO | 16.6 | 7.1 | 5.3 |
| 10 | Tre Jones | CHI | 14.0 | 3.5 | 5.0 |
| 11 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 13.6 | 5.7 | 2.3 |
| 12 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 13.3 | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| 13 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 12.3 | 3.4 | 2.3 |
| 14 | Isaac Okoro | CHI | 11.0 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Herbert Jones | NO | 11.0 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 16 | Kevin Huerter | CHI | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 17 | Zach Collins | CHI | 9.8 | 4.9 | 1.9 |
| 18 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 9.1 | 6.2 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 7.3 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Micah Peavy | NO | 6.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.3 | 6.6 | 1.2 |
| 22 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 5.8 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| 24 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 4.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 4.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 27 | Kevon Looney | NO | 3.0 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.