NBA games

UTAH @ MEM

NBA FedExForum ·Final
130–126
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH36254227130
MEM31333329126

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MEM) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home MEM
25% 75%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 34 39 6 8
Lauri Markkanen S 36 26 9 2
Kevin Love 20 20 8 1
Jusuf Nurkic S 28 13 17 7
Brice Sensabaugh 17 11 3 2
Ace Bailey S 31 8 4 0
Svi Mykhailiuk S 24 6 3 3
Isaiah Collier 24 5 2 8
Kyle Filipowski 19 2 4 1
Walter Clayton Jr. 8 0 2 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Santi Aldama S 36 22 7 2
Ja Morant S 25 21 4 10
Cam Spencer 25 20 2 4
Jaylen Wells S 33 19 5 1
Cedric Coward S 29 17 12 6
Jaren Jackson Jr. S 27 12 5 3
Jock Landale 27 8 9 1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 22 7 2 5
Vince Williams Jr. 15 0 3 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ja Morant · Layup (2 pts) · 11:43 Q1
"Ja Morant makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ja Morant MEM
13%
2 Jaylen Wells MEM
10%
3 Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM
10%
4 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
5 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
10%
6 Cedric Coward MEM
9%
7 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH
8%
8 Vince Williams Jr. MEM
8%
9 Ace Bailey UTAH
7%
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
32%
Layup
30%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Keyonte George UTAH 23.8 4.0 6.4
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 22.5 6.4 2.2
3 Ja Morant MEM 20.1 3.8 9.1
4 Jaren Jackson Jr. MEM 18.7 4.8 2.9
5 Jaylen Wells MEM 15.5 3.7 2.0
6 Cam Spencer MEM 15.5 2.9 5.4
7 Santi Aldama MEM 14.6 6.0 3.5
8 Cedric Coward MEM 14.3 6.3 2.6
9 Ace Bailey UTAH 12.0 3.3 2.0
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 11.8 6.8 2.1
11 Jusuf Nurkic UTAH 10.2 8.4 3.8
12 Jock Landale MEM 9.8 5.2 1.2
13 Vince Williams Jr. MEM 9.2 4.3 7.0
14 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.7 2.5 1.7
15 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope MEM 7.0 2.0 3.1
16 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 6.9 1.7 3.4
17 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 6.6 1.8 1.0
18 Isaiah Collier UTAH 5.5 1.1 3.6
19 Kevin Love UTAH 5.1 3.5 1.0
20 Kyle Anderson UTAH 4.9 2.2 2.6
21 Olivier-Maxence Prosper MEM 2.9 2.0 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.