NBA games

MIN @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
110–126
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
MIN24293126110
PHI30303531126

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 3 (PHI) / 5 (MIN) games this season
MIN away
home PHI
82% 18%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Leonard Miller S 31 21 5 3
Jaylen Clark S 21 14 2 2
Joan Beringer S 28 13 3 1
Jules Bernard 11 11 1 0
Rob Dillingham S 26 11 2 7
Bones Hyland 20 10 4 2
Rocco Zikarsky 20 9 4 2
Johnny Juzang S 22 8 6 0
Alize Johnson 11 4 4 0
Enrique Freeman 14 3 5 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 30 27 4 7
VJ Edgecombe S 34 26 6 3
Quentin Grimes 26 22 2 5
Joel Embiid S 19 14 7 8
Jabari Walker 20 8 4 0
Andre Drummond 10 7 4 0
Dominick Barlow 20 6 5 0
Malcolm Hill 5 6 1 0
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 25 4 3 1
Adem Bona S 23 4 7 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Kelly Oubre Jr. makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
24%
2 Dominick Barlow PHI
21%
3 Adem Bona PHI
19%
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
19%
5 Justin Edwards PHI
14%
6 Kennedy Chandler PHI
0%
7 Jaylen Clark MIN
0%
8 Johnny Juzang MIN
0%
9 Rob Dillingham MIN
0%
10 Alize Johnson MIN
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
32%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
37%
Layup
11%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 16.0 2.9 2.7
2 Kennedy Chandler PHI 15.5 3.5 4.7
3 Rob Dillingham MIN 14.0 2.7 5.8
4 Johnny Juzang MIN 13.6 4.1 1.1
5 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 10.8 4.7 2.3
6 Dominick Barlow PHI 7.9 6.3 0.8
7 Jabari Walker PHI 7.8 3.5 1.1
8 Bones Hyland MIN 7.2 2.6 2.2
9 Joan Beringer MIN 6.8 6.1 0.7
10 Rocco Zikarsky MIN 5.8 3.8 0.7
11 Justin Edwards PHI 5.4 4.1 2.1
12 Tristen Newton MIN 4.8 1.3 1.2
13 Enrique Freeman MIN 4.4 1.8 0.5
14 Jules Bernard MIN 4.4 1.1 0.8
15 Johni Broome PHI 4.4 2.8 0.4
16 Andre Drummond PHI 4.1 4.9 0.7
17 Malcolm Hill PHI 3.9 0.9 0.6
18 Zyon Pullin MIN 3.8 1.4 2.1
19 Alize Johnson MIN 3.6 2.5 0.5
20 Adem Bona PHI 3.6 2.9 0.4
21 Jaylen Clark MIN 3.5 2.2 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.