DAL @ LAL
NBA
T-Mobile Arena
·Final
121–94
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 32 | 21 | 31 | 37 | 121 |
| LAL | 36 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 94 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 4 (LAL) / 3 (DAL) games this season
DAL
away
home
LAL
62%
38%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis S | 32 | 18 | 9 | 2 |
| P.J. Washington S | 28 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
| Cooper Flagg S | 28 | 13 | 2 | 3 |
| Dereck Lively II S | 25 | 12 | 11 | 1 |
| Klay Thompson S | 18 | 12 | 1 | 1 |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| Max Christie | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| D'Angelo Russell | 16 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Klay Thompson ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Klay Thompson makes 22-foot pullup jump shot (Cooper Flagg assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Anthony Davis
DAL
12%
2
Deandre Ayton
LAL
12%
3
Austin Reaves
LAL
11%
4
Rui Hachimura
LAL
10%
5
P.J. Washington
DAL
10%
6
Cooper Flagg
DAL
9%
7
Jake LaRavia
LAL
9%
8
Jarred Vanderbilt
LAL
9%
9
Dereck Lively II
DAL
9%
10
Klay Thompson
DAL
9%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
17%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
28%
Layup
28%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Reaves | LAL | 22.7 | 4.9 | 3.3 |
| 2 | Anthony Davis | DAL | 14.0 | 6.1 | 1.8 |
| 3 | Jake LaRavia | LAL | 11.1 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| 4 | Rui Hachimura | LAL | 10.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| 5 | Dalton Knecht | LAL | 10.3 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 6 | Cooper Flagg | DAL | 10.2 | 5.5 | 2.7 |
| 7 | P.J. Washington | DAL | 9.6 | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 8 | Naji Marshall | DAL | 9.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| 9 | Deandre Ayton | LAL | 9.4 | 9.8 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 9.0 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 11 | RJ Davis | LAL | 7.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 12 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | DAL | 7.7 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Max Christie | DAL | 7.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Bronny James | LAL | 7.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Klay Thompson | DAL | 7.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Ryan Nembhard | DAL | 6.8 | 3.0 | 4.6 |
| 17 | Jarred Vanderbilt | LAL | 6.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| 18 | Nick Smith Jr. | LAL | 6.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Miles Kelly | DAL | 6.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Jaxson Hayes | LAL | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 5.8 | 5.3 | 1.5 |
| 22 | Dereck Lively II | DAL | 5.3 | 5.5 | 1.4 |
| 23 | Nate Williams | LAL | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Christian Koloko | LAL | 4.2 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| 25 | Moussa Cisse | DAL | 3.1 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Anton Watson | LAL | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.